Democratic
Nanette Barragán
Incumbent representative for CA-44. Voting record, ideology and biography →
← all House races
California District 44 election, 2026
Nanette Barragán vs. Genevieve Angel on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Nanette Barragán favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+43.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+36.32026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Genevieve Angel
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-44. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Nanette BarragánDEM · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $1.4MCash on hand $1.1M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$45k
- Unemployed$34k
- Legal & Professional Services$23k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$14k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$11k
States
- CA$96k
- DC$51k
- TX$16k
- OR$7k
- FL$7k
Genevieve AngelREP$22k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $11kDebts $3k18% from donors under $200Self-funded $3k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$8k
- Retired$2k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$225
States
- CA$12k
- FL$1k
- AL$520
- ID$520
- UT$520
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-44; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 44th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Inspired by Seattle Program, Jayapal Bill Would Help US Families Buy Fruits and Veggies
As Americans face rising grocery prices under President Donald Trump and rally behind progressive policies and primary candidates, US Rep. Pramila Jayapal on Thursday introduced a bill that shows what kind of proposals could become reality with more Democrats…
Common Dreams · July 2, 2026
Declaring Victory in California, Progressive Randy Villegas Aims to Oust GOP Rep. Valadao
Progressive Randy Villegas on Tuesday declared victory in a primary race for California's new 22nd Congressional District, a key part of Democratic efforts to combat President Donald Trump's attempt to maintain GOP control of Congress by rigging maps.Californ…
Common Dreams · June 9, 2026
Lawmaker who was at correspondents' dinner says TSA agents were present at venue
California Democratic Rep. Nanette Barragán joins CBS News 24/7 to talk about her experience at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, including her thoughts about security at the venue.
CBS News · April 27, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗