Democratic
Derek Tran
Incumbent representative for CA-45. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 45 election, 2026
Derek Tran vs. Chuong Vo on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Derek Tran favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+40.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+25.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Chuong Vo
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-45. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-45; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
Dem lawmaker hosts Hamas-linked org, draws swift backlash online
A California Democrat is facing backlash after hosting a Hamas-associated group at his office on Capitol Hill last week. Rep. Derek Tran welcomed a group of leaders from the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) as part of the "National Muslim Advocacy…
Freerepublic.com · April 28, 2026
Dem lawmaker hosts Hamas-linked org, draws swift backlash online
California Democrat Derek Tran draws criticism for welcoming CAIR, a group accused of Hamas ties, to his Capitol Hill office for advocacy meetings.
Fox News · April 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗