Democratic
John Garamendi
Incumbent representative for CA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 8 election, 2026
John Garamendi vs. Rudy Recile on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
John Garamendi favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+37.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+35.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Rudy Recile
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
'Trillion-Dollar Scam': Lawmakers Demand Halt to Trump's Golden Dome Boondoggle
Democratic lawmakers are taking aim at President Donald Trump's proposed “Golden Dome” missile defense system, which the Congressional Budget Office projected last month would cost $1.2 trillion to create, deploy, and operate over the first 20 years of its ex…
Common Dreams · June 18, 2026
'Who Are You Cheering For?' Hegseth Suggests US Lawmaker Is a Traitor for Criticizing Trump's Iran War
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Wednesday lashed out at a Democratic lawmaker over his criticism of President Donald Trump's illegal war with Iran.During testimony before the House Armed Services Committee, Hegseth attacked Rep. John Garamendi (D-Calif.)…
Common Dreams · April 29, 2026
‘Shame on You!’ Pete Hegseth Explodes on House Democrat During Heated Hearing Battle
Pete Hegseth went off on Rep. John Garamendi after the California Democrat said the Iran war has turned into a "quagmire" during a hearing on Wednesday The post ‘Shame on You!’ Pete Hegseth Explodes on House Democrat During Heated Hearing Battle first appeare…
Mediaite · April 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗