VotePredictor
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California District 7 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Democrat favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+30.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+13.2
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: Doris Matsui, Mai Vang.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-7. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in California's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin
2016Ami Bera(D)D+2.3
2014Ami Bera(D)D+0.8
2012Ami Bera(D)D+3.4

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-6 · CA-8