Democratic
Joe Neguse
Incumbent representative for CO-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Colorado District 2 election, 2026
Joe Neguse vs. Kelley Dennison. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Joe Neguse favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+40.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Kelley Dennison
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Gaylon Kent · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CO-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Joe NeguseDEM · incumbent$3.3M raised
Spent $2.1MCash on hand $3.2M9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- MAJORITY FUND$177k
- ARNOLD, LAURA$17k
- PERRY, DEE$13k
- DODGE, LINDSEY$11k
- DEGRASSI, DUKE$8k
Industries
- Unemployed$422k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$159k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$136k
- Retired$134k
- Legal & Professional Services$84k
States
- CO$1.0M
- CA$112k
- NY$103k
- MD$69k
- DC$62k
Kelley DennisonREP$12k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $1k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $525
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CO-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Colorado's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
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With the midterm elections less than two months away, more than 250 current and former Members of Congress came together on Tuesday to pressure the US Supreme Court to block Republican President Donald Trump's March executive order on voting and its resulting…
Common Dreams · September 8, 2026
NASA dodged Trump's worst cuts. Scientists say what's left is still devastating.
A congressional panel has voted to advance a spending bill that funds NASA, rejecting the White House’s proposal to cut the agency nearly in half but still imposing a significant reduction on the science programs that underpin Colorado’s aerospace economy and…
Raw Story · May 25, 2026
FEMA Caught Blocking Grants to States That Didn’t Vote for Trump
FEMA has been deliberately delaying grants to blue states, putting American citizens and indigenous tribal land at risk in order to carry out President Trump’s petty and vindictive agenda.On Friday, The Washington Post reported that FEMA significantly decreas…
The New Republic · May 8, 2026
Noem Can’t Explain Why She Hired 8-Day-Old Company for Ad Campaign
The Department of Homeland Security tapped a little-known ad firm to produce Kristi Noem’s multimillion-dollar ad campaign during the government shutdown last year. But when asked to explain her rationale before a House Oversight Committee hearing Wednesday, …
The New Republic · March 4, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗