Colorado District 3 election, 2026

Dwayne Romero vs. Jeff Hurd.

VotePredictor forecast

Jeff Hurd favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+15.0

99%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+9.5

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Dwayne Romero

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Jeff Hurd

Incumbent representative for CO-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Other listed candidates

Clifton Brown · Independent
Cory Robertson · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CO-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CO-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Colorado's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2022Lauren Boebert(R)R+0.2

2020Lauren Boebert(R)R+6.2

2018Scott Tipton(R)R+8.0

2012Scott Tipton(R)R+12.3

2010Scott Tipton(R)R+4.3

2006John T. Salazar(D)D+25.0

2004John T. Salazar(D)D+4.0

Candidate news

Griping GOP lawmakers dodge Trump's 'mess' of a demand: 'Waste of time'

President Donald Trump's unusual midterm convention in Texas next week will be missing a substantial number of GOP lawmakers, who admit they have better things to do.In interviews with Politico, over 45 GOP members of Congress begged off, saying they need to …

Raw Story · September 2, 2026

Trump’s Plan to Sell F-35s to Turkey Becomes an Even Greater Disaster

President Trump said in a meeting with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Tuesday that he plans to lift sanctions to allow the country to buy F-35 fighter jets. “We’re going to be taking the sanctions off, OK? I don’t want him to waste his time answering …

The New Republic · July 7, 2026

Trump-backed incumbent survives right-wing primary challenge after endorsement drama in Colorado

Rep. Jeff Hurd defeated Ron Hanks in Colorado's GOP primary after Trump re-issued his endorsement, setting up a competitive November midterm race.

Fox News · July 1, 2026

Morning Digest: Trump issues his most bizarre endorsement yet (David Nir/The Downballot)

David Nir / The Downballot: Morning Digest: Trump issues his most bizarre endorsement yet — Leading Off — Donald Trump executed a bizarre reverse-reversal on Friday when he re-endorsed Rep. Jeff Hurd just four weeks after urging primary voters to deny the…

Memeorandum.com · March 23, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CO-2 · CO-4