Democratic
Jason Crow
Incumbent representative for CO-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Colorado District 6 election, 2026
Jason Crow vs. Jason Clark. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Jason Crow favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+28.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+20.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jason Clark
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Patty McMahon · Libertarian
- Samir Ezzeldin Witta · Independent
- Meredith Ryan · Unity
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CO-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Jason CrowDEM · incumbent$4.0M raised
Spent $2.8MCash on hand $2.9M35% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$816k
- Not Reported$163k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$160k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$104k
- Legal & Professional Services$92k
States
- CO$1.3M
- CA$185k
- NY$144k
- MA$76k
- WY$52k
Samir Ezzeldin WittaUN$103k raised
Spent $151kCash on hand −$47kDebts $169k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $103k
Patty McMahonLIB$6k raised
Spent $5kCash on hand $56610% from donors under $200Self-funded $5k
Top contributors, industries and states
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗Jason ClarkREP— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CO-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Colorado's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
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When It Comes to Trump’s Corruption, You Haven’t Seen It All
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The New Republic · October 27, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗