VotePredictor
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Florida District 11 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD.

VotePredictor forecast
Republican favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+5.5
79%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+14.8
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: James Pericola, Royal Webster, Dan Williams.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed republican candidates: Carey Baker, Ivette Palomo, Nizam Razack, Joe Strada, Tim Wilkins.

Other listed candidates

  • Ralph Groves · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-11. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-10 · FL-12