Democratic
Maxwell Frost
Incumbent representative for FL-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Florida District 10 election, 2026
Maxwell Frost vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Maxwell Frost favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+38.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+24.32026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-10. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Florida's 10th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
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Democrats in both chambers of Congress this week have joined rights advocates in forcefully denouncing plans for US Immigration and Customs Enforcement to spend up to $20 million on "gloves that can deliver painful electric shocks."The Department of Homeland …
Common Dreams · August 13, 2026
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The New Republic · August 4, 2026
Green Groups Rally Behind Tennessee's Justin Pearson for Congress
A week away from Tennessee's Democratic primary, a coalition of national advocacy groups endorsed Justin Pearson, who is running to represent the state's 9th Congressional District in the US House of Representatives."Tennesseans deserve a champion who will st…
Common Dreams · July 30, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗