VotePredictor
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Florida District 12 election, 2026

Kimberly Overman vs. Gus Bilirakis on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Gus Bilirakis favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+15.6
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Kimberly Overman

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Branden Scrivener · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-12. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-11 · FL-13