Democratic
Kathy Castor
Incumbent representative for FL-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Kathy Castor favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+10.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed republican candidates: Mike Beltran, John Peters, Rocky Rochford, Gavriel Soriano, Kevin Steele, Ergin Tek, Bea Valenti.
Other listed candidates
- Brian Lambert · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-14. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House approves long-awaited stock trading ‘ban’ — here’s who the largest traders are (ony 4.51 years left)
WASHINGTON — The House passed a sweeping set of restrictions on stock trades by lawmakers and their spouses that was paired with a voter ID provision that scared off many Democrats. The “Stop Insider Trading Act” cleared the House 232 to 198, with the full su…
Freerepublic.com · July 23, 2026
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
DeSantis Signs Gerrymandered Florida Map to Flip Seats for Republicans
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis made his state’s new gerrymandered congressional map official Monday. DeSantis signed the map that his own office specifically drew in order to capture four more Republican seats in time for November’s midterm elections, hoping t…
The New Republic · May 4, 2026
WSJ warns red state gambit could cost GOP dearly: 'How confident are Republicans?'
The conservative Wall Street Journal editorial board has a warning for Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis: if you move forward with re-gerrymandering your state, it might not turn out the way you're hoping.This comes as the architect of DeSantis' new congressional map…
Raw Story · April 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗