VotePredictor
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Florida District 14 election, 2026

Kathy Castor vs. Mike Beltran on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Kathy Castor favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+12.1
96%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+10.6
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Mike Beltran

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Brian Lambert · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-14. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-13 · FL-15