Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Matthew Montavon, Allen Spence.
VotePredictor forecast
Greg Steube favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+16.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+22.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Greg Steube
Incumbent representative for FL-17. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Michael Quirk · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-17. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-17; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Congressman calls for impeaching dead federal judge
Senior U.S. District Judge John E. "Jay" Steele, who served on the federal court for the Middle District of Florida, died July 14. And one day later, U.S. Rep. Greg Steube, a Republican from Sarasota, Florida, introduced articles of impeachment against him.
Abajournal.com · July 24, 2026
Florida congressman moves to impeach judge who ordered convicted Cuban plane hijacker freed from ICE
Congressman Greg Steube filed an impeachment article against Judge John E. Steele for ordering a convicted Cuban plane hijacker's release from ICE.
Fox News · July 16, 2026
How the H-1B visa replaces American workers
Mary, a veteran Silicon Valley marketer who can’t find a job, considers herself a victim of an H-1B visa program run amok.Her story, a U.S. native replaced by a foreign-born employee who is willing to work at a significantly lower wage, has become commonplace…
TheBlaze · May 23, 2026
Chairman Crawford Hosts Additional Roundtable Event to Discuss CCP Counterintelligence Threats in Tampa, Florida
House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford (AR-01) and House Intelligence Committee Member Representative Greg Steube (FL-17) hosted a roundtable discussion at the University of South Florida in Tampa, Florida, with federal, state…
Globalsecurity.org · May 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗