Democratic
Curtis Gibson
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Florida District 18 election, 2026
Curtis Gibson vs. Scott Franklin on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Scott Franklin favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+10.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+17.12026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Scott Franklin
Incumbent representative for FL-18. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Deva Simmons · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-18. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Scott FranklinREP · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $625kCash on hand $883kDebts $299k0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$45k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$38k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$31k
- Defense & Aerospace$22k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$17k
States
- FL$278k
- VA$58k
- CA$25k
- DC$24k
- MD$18k
Deva SimmonsNPA$30k raised
Spent $31kCash on hand −$2k36% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- SIMMONS, DEVA$5k
- KING-WILLIAMS, SANDRA D$1k
- MOSLEY, WALTER$1k
- THOMPSON, JIMMY$1k
- WILLIAMS, RONALD$900
Industries
- Retired$3k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$550
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$500
- Government$459
States
- FL$6k
- NY$3k
Curtis GibsonDEM$14k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $2k29% from donors under $200Self-funded $10k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- GIBSON, CURTIS$10k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-18; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Florida's 18th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
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Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗