VotePredictor
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Florida District 21 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Brian Mast.

VotePredictor forecast
Brian Mast favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+7.1
85%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+15.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: James Martin, Bernard Taylor.

Other listed candidates

  • Alexander Cooke · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-21. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-21; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

GOP House Chair Scolds Dem Accusing Rubio of Not Testifying on Iran: ‘Probably Don’t Remember It Because You Missed Half’

Brian Mast scolded Gregory Meeks during a House hearing over the claim that Marco Rubio has avoided testifying before Congress on the Iran war. The post GOP House Chair Scolds Dem Accusing Rubio of Not Testifying on Iran: ‘Probably Don’t Remember It Because Y…

Mediaite · July 22, 2026
House Foreign Affairs Chair: Iran’s Proxies Must Be Tied to Agreement

House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Brian Mast told the Daily Signal that while the current memorandum of understanding with the Iranian regime delivers a win for President Donald Trump’s administration, Iran’s terror proxies—Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Ho…

Daily Signal · June 26, 2026
Dems vow revenge as 'disrespectful' GOP leader's personal jabs leave them fuming

Democratic lawmakers on the House Foreign Affairs Committee are growing frustrated with chair Rep. Brian Mast (R-FL) over his leadership — including “barely-veiled personal jabs” and other provocations — and are already "vowing they won't forget" if they recl…

Raw Story · June 19, 2026
MAGA Rep. Insists Giving Iran Billions Is Actually a Good Thing

The Republican Party is gung-ho for the second coming of former President Barack Obama’s Iran nuclear deal, though this time, reaching similar terms will come at a tremendous cost to American taxpayers.In spite of the GOP’s well-worn insistence on federal fru…

The New Republic · June 15, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-20 · FL-22