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Toss-up · 2008 House
Florida House
In the 2008 Florida House race, Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
R+15.8
Final polls said
R+14.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida International University/Univision | R+14.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | The McDonald Group | R+5.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Florida International University/Univision2008-10-162
The McDonald Group2008-09-2911
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2008 Florida House race?
Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) won, by about 15.8 points (R+15.8).
When was the 2008 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2008.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.