VotePredictor
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Florida District 24 election, 2026

Oliver Gilbert vs. Te Mayonna Brown on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →

VotePredictor forecast
Oliver Gilbert favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+46.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+39.0
2026 national environment
D+8.0
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.2 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Oliver Gilbert

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Te Mayonna Brown

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-24. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Campaign money

FEC reports through October 14, 2026
Oliver GilbertDEM$1.5M raised
Spent $1.0MCash on hand $427k38% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$10k
  2. BURSTYN, DAVID$7k
  3. COKER, ADEBAYO TOLULOPE$7k
  4. COLEY, ROY$7k
  5. EZRATTI, ITCHKO$7k

Industries

  1. Retired$96k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$62k
  3. Homemaker$48k
  4. Legal & Professional Services$38k
  5. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$36k

States

  1. FL$1.2M
  2. IL$42k
  3. GA$21k
  4. VA$17k
  5. DC$11k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Te Mayonna BrownREP$313k raised
Spent $144kCash on hand $169kDebts $282k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $306k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. BROWN, TE$306k
  2. HODGE, HENRY$2k
  3. GIBSON, LASHAWN$1k
  4. LEE, TAHRITA$1k
  5. RATCLIFF, DRATONYAI$1k

States

  1. FL$2k
  2. MN$2k
  3. IL$1k
  4. NJ$1k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗

What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report
View House ratings ↗
Inside Elections
View House ratings ↗
Sabato's Crystal Ball
View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Florida's 24th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin
2010Sandra Adams(R)R+19.3
2008Suzanne M. Kosmas(D)D+16.1
2006Tom Feeney(R)R+15.9
2002Tom Feeney(R)R+23.7

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-23 · FL-25