Florida District 24 election, 2026

Oliver Gilbert vs. Te Mayonna Brown on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Oliver Gilbert favored

Safe D · predicted margin D+45.0

99%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

D+39.0

2026 national environment

D+6.6

District polls

none

Forecast spread

±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Oliver Gilbert

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Te Mayonna Brown

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-24. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Florida's 24th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2010Sandra Adams(R)R+19.3

2008Suzanne M. Kosmas(D)D+16.1

2006Tom Feeney(R)R+15.9

2002Tom Feeney(R)R+23.7

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: FL-23 · FL-25