Democratic
Seth Harp
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
Florida District 3 election, 2026
Seth Harp vs. Kat Cammack on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Kat Cammack favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+29.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+21.32026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Kat Cammack
Incumbent representative for FL-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Mike Klein · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Florida's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Capitol agenda: Congress tries again to police itself
Reps. Kat Cammack and Teresa Leger Fernández are leading a bipartisan effort to fundamentally change how sexual misconduct and other bad behavior in Congress is investigated and eradicated. But the goal of changing Congress’ workplace culture could hit a wal…
Biztoc.com · August 17, 2026
GOP Rep. Says Congress Has A Sexual Misconduct Problem: ‘If You’re Looking For Love, I Suggest You Look Elsewhere’
“I wouldn’t feel comfortable sending my daughter to work here on Capitol Hill,” Rep. Kat Cammack (R-Fl.) said.
HuffPost · July 23, 2026
GOP Rep. Kat Cammack pitches mandatory background checks for Congress staffers over claims foreign agents running wild
WASHINGTON — Rep. Kat Cammack (R-Fla.) is calling for all congressional staff to undergo background checks and dishing on growing foreign influence campaigns that she describes as “the worst kept secret on Capitol Hill.” Cammack has introduced a resolution th…
Freerepublic.com · July 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗