Democratic
Phil Ehr
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Carlos Gimenez favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+20.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Carlos Gimenez
Incumbent representative for FL-28. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Eddy Rojas · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for FL-28. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for FL-28; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
'Quite the excuse': MAGA Republican sparks outrage with wild claim on CNN
A MAGA lawmaker sparked outrage after he made a wild claim about the devastating earthquakes in Venezuela during an interview on CNN. Rep. Carlos Gimenez (R-FL), who is known as one of Trump's close allies in Congress, told CNN's Boris Sanchez on Tuesday that…
Raw Story · June 30, 2026
GOP rep warns Cuba may strike US with drones as he urges Trump against cutting a deal
A Florida Republican congressman warned Cuba poses a unique and urgent threat to the United States as President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened military action against the communist regime just 90 miles from American shores.Rep. Carlos Gimenez (R-FL), …
Raw Story · May 20, 2026
Unlawful US Attack, Says Cuban President, 'Would Trigger a Bloodbath With Incalculable Consequences'
As the Trump administration seeks to justify a war with Cuba using what Cuban officials have called “increasingly implausible accusations” that it poses a danger to national security, President Miguel Díaz-Canel warned on Monday that an American assault would…
Common Dreams · May 18, 2026
Four People on a Florida Speedboat Killed in Shootout With Cuban Troops
This is a developing story… Please check back for updates… In a deadly development that could further strain relations between Havana and Washington DC, Cuba's Ministry of the Interior announced Wednesday afternoon that four people on a Florida-registered spe…
Common Dreams · February 25, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗