Democratic
Sanford Bishop
Incumbent representative for GA-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Georgia District 2 election, 2026
Sanford Bishop vs. Matt Day. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Sanford Bishop favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+18.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+8.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Matt Day
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for GA-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Sanford BishopDEM · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $432k2% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$43k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$41k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$26k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$14k
- Legal & Professional Services$12k
States
- GA$282k
- VA$22k
- DC$20k
- DE$12k
- TX$12k
Matt DayREP$218k raised
Spent $218kCash on hand $0Debts $50k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $191k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- DAY, MATT$191k
- DAY VICTORY FUND$15k
- DAY, BENJAMIN MATTHEW$5k
- DAY, BARBARA$3k
- LEE, DAVID$2k
Industries
- Retired$1k
States
- GA$11k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Georgia's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
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Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗