Democratic
Tony Kozycki
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Georgia District 7 election, 2026
Tony Kozycki vs. Rich McCormick. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Rich McCormick favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+8.2
94%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+22.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
2, averaging R+0.5Forecast spread
±5.3 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). The 2 district polls are blended in by inverse variance, about 54% of the weight: the model alone said R+17.3.
Republican
Rich McCormick
Incumbent representative for GA-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMargin
These polls move the forecast: their average is blended into the model's own margin by inverse variance, with about 54% of the weight on the polls (a single poll gets about half; more polls, more weight). The rule was preregistered and validated on 321 polled districts from 2018–2024. See methodology.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Rich McCormickREP · incumbent$2.3M raised
Spent $1.6MCash on hand $1.3MDebts $1k1% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- MCCORMICK VICTORY FUND$1.1M
- LONG, CHARLES$46k
- OLD BREED PAC$25k
- AUERBACH, LORNA$21k
- SLAPPEY, PEGGY B$11k
Industries
- Retired$60k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$44k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$37k
- Legal & Professional Services$28k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$23k
States
- GA$209k
- TX$86k
- CA$43k
- FL$27k
- VA$25k
Tony KozyckiDEM$922k raised
Spent $430kCash on hand $492kDebts $717k5% from donors under $200Self-funded $717k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$54k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$22k
- Retired$11k
- Legal & Professional Services$5k
- Government$3k
States
- GA$130k
- CA$5k
- MD$4k
- CT$2k
- FL$2k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Georgia's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Bill to Strip DSA Of Party Rights Picks Up Steam In DC
By PEDRO RODRIGUEZ, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Legislation to deny the Democratic Socialists of America party status has gained momentum in the House of Representatives. If enacted, the effort from Reps. Rich McCormick and Clay Fuller of Georgia woul…
Biztoc.com · October 8, 2026
Blue city emerges as 'suspected hotspot' of visa fraud as swing state lawmaker demands answers
First on Fox, a blue city in battleground Georgia faces H-1B visa fraud allegations as Rep. Rich McCormick urges a Trump administration probe.
Fox News · October 6, 2026
'I'm not a senator!' CNN anchor rebuts Republican's odd defense of overmatched colleague
CNN's John Berman on Friday pressed a Republican congressman Sen. Darline Graham's widely mocked debate answer — then called out the hole in his logic. The anchor first asked Rep. Rich McCormick (R-GA) the same national security question posed to Graham durin…
Raw Story · August 21, 2026
GeoVax Chairman and CEO David Dodd to Participate in 2026 Georgia Life Sciences Summit
Former Georgia Life Sciences Chair Selected for CEO Spotlight and Private Global Health Policy Roundtable With U.S. Rep. Rich McCormick
Associated Press · August 20, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗