Democratic
Kelly Esti
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Georgia District 8 election, 2026
Kelly Esti vs. Austin Scott. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Austin Scott favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+25.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+31.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Austin Scott
Incumbent representative for GA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for GA-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Austin ScottREP · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $1.3M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$61k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$27k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$23k
- Legal & Professional Services$13k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$11k
States
- GA$334k
- VA$27k
- DC$22k
- FL$16k
- SC$13k
Kelly EstiDEM$28k raised
Spent $29kCash on hand $4k9% from donors under $200Self-funded $7k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$1k
- Retired$800
- Unemployed$100
States
- GA$3k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Georgia's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Republicans put pressure on 'shockingly unprofessional' Hegseth as impeachment vote looms
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is running short on friends on Capitol Hill, and that now includes members of his own party, according to a new report.This summer, Hegseth asked a Republican lawmaker what he thought the odds were that Congress would pass the a…
Raw Story · October 29, 2026
GOP revolt brewing after Pete Hegseth blindsided his own inner circle: report
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth caught his closest advisers off guard with a recent move, adding to Republican frustration over his leadership.Hegseth's revelation last week that the military would livestream the firing-squad execution of Fort Hood shooter Nid…
Raw Story · October 16, 2026
Even (a Few) Republicans Are Shocked by Execution Livestreaming Plan
Even Republican lawmakers are disgusted by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s plan to livestream a federal execution.Hegseth confirmed Thursday that the Pentagon plans to livestream the military firing squad execution of convicted Fort Hood shooter Nidal Hasan.…
The New Republic · October 9, 2026
Georgia Republican says ouster of Gen. George will have ‘chilling effect’ on military
Rep. Austin Scott (R-Ga.) said during a hearing on Wednesday that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s recent ouster of Gen. Randy George, the U.S. Army’s former...
The Hill · April 15, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗