Democratic
Ellie Gilbreath
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Simpson favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+27.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+26.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mike Simpson
Incumbent representative for ID-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Emre Houser · Independent
- Tripp Hutchinson · Independent
- Will Johanson · Libertarian
- Carta Sierra · Constitution
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for ID-2. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for ID-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Idaho US Rep. Simpson supports overhaul of H-2A migrant farmworker program
Idaho Republican U.S. Rep. Mike Simpson recently signed on to a renewed attempt to overhaul the visa program for agricultural migrant workers. The proposed legislation includes a change long-sought by Idaho’s dairy industry leaders — it would allow year-round…
Freerepublic.com · July 20, 2026
Is Trump Selling Himself Back His D.C. Hotel?
You know already that President Donald Trump is on a rampage to build hideous oversized structures in Washington, D.C. (the Epstein Ballroom, the Arc de Trump) and to deface existing structures using exorbitant no-bid contracts. We got some good news this pas…
The New Republic · June 15, 2026
Republicans aren't rushing to save Trump's ballroom (Politico)
Politico: Republicans aren't rushing to save Trump's ballroom … Lexi Hamel, a spokesperson for Rep. Mike Simpson, said in a statement Wednesday the Idaho Republican “believes the ruling is stupid” and that “nobody raised hell when Roosevelt or Truman renovate…
Memeorandum.com · April 2, 2026
GOP lawmakers want nothing to do with Trump's ballroom chaos: report
Donald Trump’s obsession with getting his $400 million ballroom built is not shared by Congressional Republicans, who are reportedly keeping an arm's distance from his court battles.According to Politico's Hailey Fuchs and Riley Rogerson, a federal judge has …
Raw Story · April 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗