VotePredictor
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Illinois District 1 election, 2026

Jonathan Jackson vs. Christian Maxwell.

VotePredictor forecast
Jonathan Jackson favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+43.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+34.5
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Christian Maxwell

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: ID-2 · IL-10