VotePredictor
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Illinois District 1 election, 2026

Jonathan Jackson vs. Christian Maxwell.

VotePredictor forecast
Jonathan Jackson favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+38.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+32.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Republican

Christian Maxwell

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: ID-2 · IL-10