Democratic
Lauren Underwood
Incumbent representative for IL-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Lauren Underwood favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+6.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
James Marter
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-14. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Illinois's 14th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
2 House Democrats face off for leadership slot that isn’t even open yet
A fierce internal battle is developing among House Democrats for a job that might not even be open next Congress. Reps. Sara Jacobs of California and Lauren Underwood of Illinois are expected to seek the caucus vice chair post. The job is currently held by Re…
Biztoc.com · September 3, 2026
Iconic Moments From “All Roads Lead to the South” March
Thousands gathered in Alabama this weekend for the “All Roads Lead to the South” National Day of Action for Voting Rights march, a sweeping mobilization focused on voting rights, equal representation, and the future of democracy for Black communities across t…
The Root · May 17, 2026
Democrats Officially File Articles of Impeachment Against Pete Hegseth
Democrats are mounting a formal opposition to oust Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Arizona Representative Yassamin Ansari filed six articles of impeachment against the Pentagon chief Wednesday, accusing Hegseth of repeatedly violating his constitutional oath.…
The New Republic · April 15, 2026
How Personal Loss Drove Rep. Lauren Underwood to Take On the Black Maternal Health Crisis
Excerpted from Stuck: How Money, Media and Violence Prevent Change in Congress by Maya L. Kornberg (published March 10) The post How Personal Loss Drove Rep. Lauren Underwood to Take On the Black Maternal Health Crisis appeared first on Ms. Magazine.
Ms. Magazine · April 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗