Democratic
Drew Cox
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jim Baird favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+28.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+29.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Jim Baird
Incumbent representative for IN-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IN-4. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IN-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Trump's own aides admit Venezuela oil deal won't cut gas prices before midterms: report
House Republicans walked out of a closed-door State Department briefing this week visibly frustrated, learning that President Trump's celebrated Venezuelan oil deal likely won't move the needle on gas prices before voters head to the polls in November.Assista…
Raw Story · September 16, 2026
'It's a problem': GOP struggling to rein in elderly lawmakers who won't step aside
While Democrats grapple with a generational push to oust elderly lawmakers, Republicans are confronting their own severe aging problem — with the party led by a 79-year-old president and dominated by lawmakers in their 70s and 80s who show no signs of steppin…
Raw Story · May 26, 2026
How Trump can fix his endorsement problem
You might not know it by watching algorithmically approved conservative media, but we are in the thick of primary season, with important red-state primaries taking place nearly every Tuesday. In most states, the primary outcomes these weeks will be of greater…
TheBlaze · May 15, 2026
Crypto Allies Gain Ground In Congress After Indiana Primary Win
A war chest of $193 million. That’s what Fairshake, the crypto industry’s most powerful political action committee, reported holding as of January — and it’s spending that money fast. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Could Transform Colombia’s Caribbean Region…
Bitcoinist · May 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗