Democratic
J. D. Ford
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Victoria Spartz favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+11.0
96%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+17.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Victoria Spartz
Incumbent representative for IN-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IN-5. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IN-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Indiana's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
VA Benefits—Tens of Thousands of Veterans to Get Financial Boost Under Bill
A newly introduced House bill would increase compensation for tens of thousands of combat-injured veterans by allowing them to receive both military retirement pay and Department of Veterans Affairs disability benefits simultaneously. Indiana Republican Repre…
Biztoc.com · September 21, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Indiana lawmakers went to bloody UFC Freedom 250 event at White House
U.S. Reps. Victoria Spartz and Marlin Stutzman attended the UFC Freedom 250 event held on the White House lawn.
The Indianapolis Star · June 15, 2026
'Narrow-Minded and Xenophobic' Nancy Mace Ripped for Proposed Ban on Naturalized Citizens Serving in Congress
US Rep. Pramila Jayapal called on her colleagues from both sides of the aisle to condemn legislation proposed by Republican Rep. Nancy Mace on Wednesday, which would bar naturalized citizens from serving in Congress, on the federal judiciary, and as Senate-co…
Common Dreams · May 20, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗