Democratic
J. D. Ford
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Victoria Spartz favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+16.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Victoria Spartz
Incumbent representative for IN-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IN-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IN-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Indiana lawmakers went to bloody UFC Freedom 250 event at White House
U.S. Reps. Victoria Spartz and Marlin Stutzman attended the UFC Freedom 250 event held on the White House lawn.
The Indianapolis Star · June 15, 2026
'Narrow-Minded and Xenophobic' Nancy Mace Ripped for Proposed Ban on Naturalized Citizens Serving in Congress
US Rep. Pramila Jayapal called on her colleagues from both sides of the aisle to condemn legislation proposed by Republican Rep. Nancy Mace on Wednesday, which would bar naturalized citizens from serving in Congress, on the federal judiciary, and as Senate-co…
Common Dreams · May 20, 2026
MTG Freaks Out at MAGA Influencer Over Republican Who Defies Trump
The MAGA movement is splitting at the seams.Two of the faction’s biggest names—ex-Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene and podcaster Benny Johnson—traded blows online Wednesday, airing one another’s rumored dirty laundry after Johnson attacked Kentucky Repre…
The New Republic · May 14, 2026
Who Is Cynthia West? Thomas Massie Accusations Explained
[snip] Cynthia West, a former congressional aide now running for school board in Florida, has alleged that Massie secured her a job in Congress, in the office of Republican Representative Victoria Spartz of Indiana, after the pair struck up a romantic relatio…
Freerepublic.com · May 13, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗