Democratic
Kelly Thompson
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Marlin Stutzman favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+30.2
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+30.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Marlin Stutzman
Incumbent representative for IN-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IN-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IN-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Indiana's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
WNBA Faces Pressure to Define ‘Women’ After US Representative Demands Answers
The WNBA is dealing with a rules question that has moved from public discussion into a formal request for answers. The issue arises as the league prepares for a leadership change and reviews a policy that could affect future player eligibility. The latest pus…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 17, 2026
After traffic stop, congressman vows to rein in Flock cameras with legislation
Across the country, opposition to the license plate cameras created by Flock Safety is mounting. Rep. Marlin Stutzman, R-Ind., is vowing to pursue legislation in Congress to rein in the proliferation of Flock cameras by law enforcement after he experienced hi…
Freerepublic.com · August 9, 2026
Skeptical Republican Congressman Now Believes Mitch McConnell Is Alive
A Republican congressman who publicly questioned whether Republican Senator Mitch McConnell is still alive now believes the ailing lawmaker has not died, he told Newsweek on Thursday. Indiana Representative Marlin Stutzman, who criticized the lack of informat…
Biztoc.com · July 16, 2026
Politicians Should Stop Hiding Behind the 'Two-State Solution' Fantasy
Creation of a Palestinian state next to Israel seemed feasible when President Bill Clinton hosted the signing of the Oslo accords at the White House in September 1993. The goal was reaffirmed in 2011 when 90 percent of the Senate co-sponsored a resolution sup…
Common Dreams · July 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗