Democratic
Lauren Reinhold
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Tracey Mann favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+25.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+31.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tracey Mann
Incumbent representative for KS-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Steven Jacob · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for KS-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for KS-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Kansas's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Big Ugly Bill Leaves 10,000 Kansas Kids Hungry
TOPEKA — A Kansas advocacy organization sounded an alarm about a report indicating 10,300 children in low-income families across the state stopped receiving food aid since President Donald Trump signed sweeping federal legislation nearly one year ago. Kansas …
Crooksandliars.com · May 30, 2026
These red-state Republicans must break their silence — our lives depend on it
It’s not every day you wake up and send the following email to the five Republican men representing Kansas in Washington, D.C.:“Good morning! I was wondering if the congressman had any comment on the president’s words yesterday threatening the eradication of …
Raw Story · April 9, 2026
Aero-News: Quote of the Day (12.14.25)
“America is on the cusp of the next great biofuels revolution. The Securing America’s Fuels Act is yet another way Congress can grow our bio economy and encourage innovation that creates great jobs across rural America.” Source: Representative Mike Flood, who…
Aero-news.net · December 15, 2025
US Reps Push Congress to Reinvest in Sustainable Fuels
Representatives Davids, Flood, Carter, and Mann Introduce SAF Act Four US Representatives are taking another swing at getting Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) legislation into government… and hopefully this time, it’ll stick. The Securing America’s Fuels (conf…
Aero-news.net · December 13, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗