Democratic
Drew Williams
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Kentucky District 1 election, 2026
Drew Williams vs. James Comer. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
James Comer favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+40.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+47.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
James Comer
Incumbent representative for KY-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for KY-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026James ComerREP · incumbent$2.3M raised
Spent $3.9MCash on hand $1.6M35% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$388k
- Not Reported$32k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$30k
- Legal & Professional Services$20k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$15k
States
- TX$105k
- MD$73k
- CA$69k
- KY$68k
- FL$67k
Drew WilliamsDEM$223k raised
Spent $214kCash on hand $8kDebts $3k53% from donors under $200Self-funded $3k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$46k
- Retired$15k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$5k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$5k
- Not Reported$600
States
- KY$64k
- VA$8k
- CA$5k
- FL$2k
- MD$2k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for KY-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
WATCH: House Oversight Chairman James Comer Announces He Will Lead Effort to Boot Ilhan Omar from Congress
House Oversight Committee Chairman James Comer said he will lead an effort to force Rep. The post WATCH: House Oversight Chairman James Comer Announces He Will Lead Effort to Boot Ilhan Omar from Congress appeared first on The Gateway Pundit.
Thegatewaypundit.com · October 30, 2026
4 investigations Democrats could launch if they win control of Congress
Democrats have signalled a willingness to launch probes into both Donald Trump and Pete Hegseth's handling of the Iran war [Getty Images] Democrats in the US Congress are already planning how they would use their power if they win a majority in the House or…
BBC News · October 28, 2026
Congress is questioning Delaware's plan to let AI agents run companies
House Oversight Committee chairman James Comer wrote to Governor Matt Meyer on October 26, requesting documents about the proposed Artificial Intelligence Company, or AIC.Read Entire Article
TechSpot · October 28, 2026
Rep. James Comer expands House investigation into prediction market insider trading
Rep. James Comer, chair of the House Oversight Committee, is expanding an investigation into insider trading on prediction markets and seeking information on what a trio of online platforms is doing to root it out. The Kentucky Republican, in letters sent Tue…
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗