Democratic
Megan Wingfield
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Brett Guthrie favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+44.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+40.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Brett Guthrie
Incumbent representative for KY-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Thomas Loecken · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for KY-2. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for KY-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Kentucky's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
GOP Rep Insinuates Mitch McConnell Isn’t Even In DC
Republican Kentucky Representative Brett Guthrie insinuated that Republican Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell isn't even in Washington, D.C.
The Daily Caller · July 8, 2026
Western Groups Warn Democrats: 'No Deal With Devil on Permit Reform'
Amid permitting reform negotiations and votes in the Republican-led Congress this week, dozens of organizations from the US West on Thursday urged Democratic leaders to reject "a reactive capitulation to energy and technology industry demands and the Trump ad…
Common Dreams · April 16, 2026
'Liberal pipe dream' | Kentucky congressman responds to Beshear after being blamed for layoffs at EV battery plant
A Kentucky congressman responded to Andy Beshear Tuesday, days after Kentucky's governor blamed him for sweeping layoffs at an electric vehicle battery plant in his district. BlueOval SK said roughly 1,500 people at its Glendale plant would be laid off as For…
Freerepublic.com · December 18, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗