Democratic
Richard Neal
Incumbent representative for MA-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Richard Neal favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+14.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Nadia Milleron · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MA-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MA-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Congressman Neal says Garvaghy Road march 'provocative'
US Representative Richard Neal has described the planned Orange Order march along the Garvaghy Road in Portadown as "provocative".
RTE · October 2, 2026
Meeks, Beyer, Neal Statement On Russia Sanctions Legislation
Rep. Gregory W. Meeks, Ranking Member of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, Rep. Don Beyer, Senior House Democrat of Congress' Joint Economic Committee, and Rep. Richard Neal, Ranking Member of the House Committee on Ways and Means, today issued the foll…
Globalsecurity.org · September 11, 2026
The Ukraine Bill That House Dems Have No Intention of Passing
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonThe Ukraine bill that House Dems have no intention of passingFor years, Democrats …
The New Republic · September 2, 2026
One of Congress' most powerful Democrats just survived a progressive primary revolt
Richard Neal defeated progressive challenger Jeromie Whalen in the Massachusetts 1st Congressional District primary, but the seniority debate rages on.
Fox News · September 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗