Democratic
Jim McGovern
Incumbent representative for MA-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Massachusetts District 2 election, 2026
Jim McGovern vs. Republican nominee TBD. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Jim McGovern favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+31.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+24.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MA-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Jim McGovernDEM · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $1.0MCash on hand $369k19% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$137k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$36k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$27k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$25k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$24k
States
- MA$285k
- DC$50k
- NY$49k
- VA$39k
- CA$17k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
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Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗