VotePredictor
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Louisiana District 6 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →

VotePredictor forecast
Republican favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+23.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+30.6
2026 national environment
D+8.0
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±6.6 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: Chauna Banks, Lindsay Garcia, Pat Forbes, Chauna Banks.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed republican candidates: Blake Miguez, Rick Edmonds, Stephen Wagley, Larry Davis, Monique Appeaning, Michael Mebruer, Blake Miguez.

Other listed candidates

  • Rufus Craig · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for LA-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Campaign money

FEC reports through October 14, 2026
Blake MiguezREP$7.7M raised
Spent $6.2MCash on hand $1.5MDebts $2.5M8% from donors under $200Self-funded $3.5M
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. MIGUEZ, BLAKE JOHN$2.0M
  2. MIGUEZ, BLAKE JOHN$1.0M
  3. GRIGSBY, BOBBI$22k
  4. GRIGSBY, LANE$22k
  5. ARCENEAUX, BRYAN$21k

Industries

  1. Retired$539k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$159k
  3. Not Reported$144k
  4. Manufacturing & Industrial$94k
  5. Energy, Utilities & Mining$74k

States

  1. LA$2.4M
  2. TX$282k
  3. FL$53k
  4. MS$22k
  5. MT$22k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Stephen WagleyREP$874k raised
Spent $679kCash on hand $196kDebts $866k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $866k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. DUNN, WALTER$4k
  2. EDWARDS, AARON$1k
  3. SCHOEN, JEREMY$1k
  4. PFEIFFER, SHELLY$1k
  5. WAGLEY, RODNEY$521

Industries

  1. Self-Employed & Freelance$1k
  2. Defense & Aerospace$500
  3. Retired$104

States

  1. VA$5k
  2. KS$2k
  3. LA$625
  4. AE$500
  5. TX$260
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Rick EdmondsREP$697k raised
Spent $563kCash on hand $135kDebts $155k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $155k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. EDMONDS, RICK$155k
  2. FARVE, ART$11k
  3. WAMPOLD, KIM$11k
  4. WAMPOLD, MILFORD III$11k
  5. ASHY, ALTON$10k

Industries

  1. Self-Employed & Freelance$41k
  2. Retired$36k
  3. Manufacturing & Industrial$21k
  4. Not Reported$21k
  5. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$16k

States

  1. LA$377k
  2. MS$14k
  3. FL$3k
  4. TX$3k
  5. MN$3k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Pat ForbesDEM$156k raised
Spent $59kCash on hand $97kDebts $10k26% from donors under $200Self-funded $10k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. BROWN, R. DAVID$7k
  2. FORBES, EBNER$4k
  3. FORBES, LEE$4k
  4. FORBES, MICHAEL$4k
  5. KOPPLIN, ANDREW$4k

Industries

  1. Unemployed$17k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$16k
  3. Legal & Professional Services$750
  4. Retired$350
  5. Education & Academia$300

States

  1. LA$55k
  2. WA$7k
  3. TX$5k
  4. FL$2k
  5. VA$2k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Monique AppeaningREP$109k raised
Spent $94kCash on hand $15kDebts $51k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $51k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. APPEANING, ANJANITA MONIQUE$51k
  2. GLASPER, DARRYL$4k
  3. LUNDY, HUNTER$4k
  4. VIDRINE, JESSE MR.$4k
  5. VIDRINE, KYLIE$3k

Industries

  1. Retired$26k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$4k

States

  1. LA$46k
  2. FL$500
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Lindsay GarciaDEM$97k raised
Spent $75kCash on hand $22kDebts $3k72% from donors under $200Self-funded $3k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. RATCLIFF, JOHN$4k
  2. RATNER, EMILY$4k
  3. GARCIA, LINDSAY$3k
  4. LEVY, DAVID$2k
  5. MORAN, STASIA$2k

Industries

  1. Self-Employed & Freelance$6k
  2. Unemployed$2k
  3. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$525
  4. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$250

States

  1. LA$12k
  2. FL$3k
  3. MI$2k
  4. OH$1k
  5. NC$1k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Michael MebruerREP$71k raised
Spent $56kCash on hand $11k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $71k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. MEBRUER, MICHAEL EDWARD$71k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Larry DavisREP$33k raised
Spent $31kCash on hand $80916% from donors under $200Self-funded $4k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. MILLS, WILLIAMS$4k
  2. DAVIS, LARRY MR. III$2k
  3. DAVIS, LARRY MR. III$1k
  4. CHRISTIAN, DEWANNA$1k
  5. ALFORD, KELLIE$1k

Industries

  1. Retired$5k
  2. Self-Employed & Freelance$2k

States

  1. LA$14k
  2. TN$500
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Chauna BanksDEM— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —

What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for LA-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report
View House ratings ↗
Inside Elections
View House ratings ↗
Sabato's Crystal Ball
View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in Louisiana's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin
2014Garret Graves(R)R+24.9
2008Bill Cassidy(R)R+7.8

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: LA-5 · MA-1