Democratic
Katherine Clark
Incumbent representative for MA-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Katherine Clark favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+58.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+46.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MA-5. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MA-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Massachusetts's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democrats see a path to Congress as electoral worries spread into Trump country
Democrats' wary optimism about the midterms gave way to growing confidence this week.The party has seen strong post-Labor Day polls in key battlegrounds - and even in traditionally red areas. Recent escalations in the war in Iran, including an attack on a maj…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 18, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
List of Democrats Who Voted to Stop Trump Impeachment Effort
A long-shot bid to impeach President Donald Trump by Democratic Representative Al Green of Texas was blocked by the House on Tuesday after 18 Democrats joined 213 Republicans to reject it. Another 46 Democrats—including Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Whip K…
Biztoc.com · September 16, 2026
Democrats lean further away from Israel
Congress isn’t voting to end aid to Israel anytime soon. But Wednesday’s amendment vote is a preview of Democratic tensions to come after nearly half of the caucus voted to support it, including leaders like Whip Katherine Clark and former Speaker Nancy Pelos…
Biztoc.com · July 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗