Democratic
Katherine Clark
Incumbent representative for MA-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Katherine Clark favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+51.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+45.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MA-5. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MA-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Massachusetts's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democratic Whip Plans Cross-Country Midterm Sprint
Semafor: “Next month, House Minority Whip Katherine Clark is planning a whirlwind tour of districts in California, Michigan, Ohio, New York, Florida, Massachusetts, Nebraska, and Pennsylvania, according to a spokesperson, a sprint that will bring her stops to…
Politicalwire.com · September 29, 2026
Democratic whip plans cross-country midterm sprint
Congressional leaders are hitting the trail in the midterms’ final stretch. Next month, House Minority Whip Katherine Clark is planning a whirlwind tour of districts in California, Michigan, Ohio, New York, Florida, Massachusetts, Nebraska, and Pennsylvania, …
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
Democrats see a path to Congress as electoral worries spread into Trump country
Democrats' wary optimism about the midterms gave way to growing confidence this week.The party has seen strong post-Labor Day polls in key battlegrounds - and even in traditionally red areas. Recent escalations in the war in Iran, including an attack on a maj…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 18, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗