Democratic
Wesley Bell
Incumbent representative for MO-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Missouri District 1 election, 2026
Wesley Bell vs. Paul Berry on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Wesley Bell favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+62.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+58.62026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Paul Berry
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Tom Schmitz · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-1. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Is This Really the Left’s Big Moment? We’ll Know in Two Months.
It didn’t take long after the primary polls closed on August 18 for Jared Moskowitz, a moderate Democrat who has represented a South Florida congressional district since 2023, to declare victory—not just over his opponent, union organizer Oliver Larkin, but …
The New Republic · September 8, 2026
Trump Spirals After Missouri Supreme Court Hands Him Massive Loss
President Donald Trump crashed out on Thursday night after the Missouri Supreme Court struck down Republican redistricting efforts ahead of midterm elections—changing the House map after the primary and before November in an unprecedented move. “The Missouri …
The New Republic · September 4, 2026
Bipartisan U.S. Congressional Visit Highlights Expanding Partnership with Kazakhstan
A bipartisan six-member delegation from the U.S. House of Representatives met with President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana on August 25, two days after Kazakhstan elected the first members of its new unicameral Kurultai. Tokayev called the timing symbolic a…
Freerepublic.com · August 27, 2026
'Political Malpractice': Israel Hawk Moskowitz Picked for Key House Mideast Post
Progressive and pro-Palestine critics on Tuesday accused House Democratic leaders of ignoring the majority of party voters who oppose US military aid to Israel by appointing one of the most pro-Israel members of Congress as the top Democrat on a key Mideast s…
Common Dreams · August 25, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗