Democratic
Fred Wellman
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Missouri District 2 election, 2026
Fred Wellman vs. Ann Wagner on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Ann Wagner favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+11.62026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Ann Wagner
Incumbent representative for MO-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Brandon Daugherty · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-2. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Missouri's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
These red state Republicans just stabbed their voters in the back
On Wednesday night, the U.S. House delivered a stinging, bipartisan rebuke to President Donald Trump’s trade agenda, voting 219-211 to rescind the “fentanyl emergency” tariffs on Canadian imports.Six Republicans — Reps. Thomas Massie (R-KY), Don Bacon (R-NE),…
Raw Story · February 15, 2026
This Made Me Laugh
Ray Hartmann, U.S. Representative from Missouri’s First Congressional District (mostly the city of St. Louis), reports that my rep. from the 2nd District, Ann Wagner (I’m not to blame for her, I promise), got a little confused. 8-) It’s so nice that Republica…
Freethoughtblogs.com · December 9, 2025
MAGA senator’s rampages go far beyond mere defensiveness
Let’s talk about what happens when Josh Hawley gets angry.Missouri’s senior U.S. senator doesn’t take criticism lightly — whether from the press, his colleagues or anyone he perceives as an enemy. His approach? If you get hit, hit back harder.It’s not just a …
Raw Story · November 13, 2025
The Anti-Fascist Badass MAGA Doesn’t Want You To Know About
David Shuster & I brought on Fred Wellman, former Lincoln Project ED, Iraq War vet, now congressional candidate in MO's 2nd. A seat in Republican hands for over a decade. And the thing about Fred--full disclosure, he's a good pal--Fred isn’t just running for …
Crooksandliars.com · October 18, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗