Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Pete Stauber favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+26.2
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+13.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Pete Stauber
Incumbent representative for MN-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Trina Swanson · DFL
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MN-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MN-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Minnesota's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Stauber will run for top Republican on House Natural Resources, while Westerman ponders next move
Rep. Pete Stauber of Minnesota is making a run for the top Republican spot on the House Natural Resources Committee in the next Congress — teeing up a potential battle with the current chair, Bruce Westerman, who isn’t ruling out asking for a waiver to serve …
Biztoc.com · September 3, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Dems Are Looking Good in North Carolina—or Are They?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems are looking good in North Carolina—or are they?If Democrats want to take back…
The New Republic · August 19, 2026
List of Celebrities Donating to Luke Gulbranson's Minnesota Campaign
Former Summer House star Luke Gulbranson is attempting to oust Minnesota Representative Pete Stauber, a Republican, and while his donations are significantly lower than those of the Republicans, he has a few familiar names donating to him, according to record…
Biztoc.com · July 20, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗