Democratic
Emanuel Cleaver
Incumbent representative for MO-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Missouri District 5 election, 2026
Emanuel Cleaver vs. Rick Brattin on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Rick Brattin favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+18.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Rick Brattin
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Randy Langkraehr · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
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In the summer of 2018, almost no one thought Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could beat Joe Crowley. Crowley was a 10-term incumbent, the fourth-ranking Democrat in the House, a man some thought would one day be speaker. A 28-year-old former bartender and democratic…
Freerepublic.com · July 22, 2026
Comically unprepared JD Vance shamed by local columnist after clumsy campaign stop
Vice President JD Vance paid a visit to Kansas City, but some locals were decidedly unimpressed by his preparation for the event.The 41-year-old vice president stopped by Milbank Manufacturing Company on Monday, ostensibly to talk about the manufacturing sect…
Raw Story · May 19, 2026
'Worst of both worlds': Trump under fire as inflation figures far higher than expected
President Donald Trump caught heat from political analysts and observers on Wednesday after the latest economic data showed the "worst of all worlds" has arrived. Financial experts on CNBC noted that the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday ca…
Raw Story · March 18, 2026
Congressman Cleaver Votes to Extend ACA Tax Credits to Lower Health Care Costs for Missouri Families
(Washington, D.C.) – Today, U.S. Representative Emanuel Cleaver, II (D-MO) voted in favor of legislation to extend Affordable Care Act (ACA) tax credits that help lower health care premiums for more than 20 million Americans across the country, including more…
House.gov · January 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗