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Toss-up · 2004 House
Missouri House
In the 2004 Missouri House race, Emanuel Cleaver, II (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+13.1
Final polls said
D+5.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Market Research Institute Inc. | D+5.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Market Research Institute Inc.2004-10-198
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Missouri House race?
Emanuel Cleaver, II (D) won, by about 13.1 points (D+13.1).
When was the 2004 Missouri House election held?
It was held in November 2004.