VotePredictor
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Missouri District 7 election, 2026

Missi Hesketh vs. Eric Burlison on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Eric Burlison favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+37.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+43.1
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Missi Hesketh

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Kevin Craig · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-7. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Missouri's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MO-6 · MO-8