Democratic
Chris Reichard
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Missouri District 8 election, 2026
Chris Reichard vs. Jason Smith on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Jason Smith favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+46.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+54.42026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jason Smith
Incumbent representative for MO-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Rebecca Sharpe Lombard · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Jason SmithREP · incumbent$6.3M raised
Spent $3.9MCash on hand $5.4M9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- SMITH VICTORY$654k
- SMITH VICTORY$332k
- KELLEY, STEVEN$17k
- LIPSCHULTZ, MARC$14k
- CHADWICK, KIRSTEN$11k
Industries
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$235k
- Retired$209k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$107k
- Legal & Professional Services$69k
- Technology & Communications$43k
States
- MO$431k
- FL$156k
- NY$148k
- CA$144k
- VA$91k
Chris ReichardDEM$28k raised
Spent $21kCash on hand $7kDebts $7k45% from donors under $200Self-funded $109
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$5k
- Unemployed$1k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$1k
States
- MO$7k
- IL$50
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
US Congressional delegation meets Speaker Aryal
KATHMANDU: A US congressional delegation led by Representative Jason Smith, chairman of the House Committee on Ways and Means, met with Speaker of the House of Representatives Dol Prasad Aryal and members of Parliament’s International Relations Committee on O…
Khabarhub.com · October 26, 2026
Missouri Republicans frustrated by court losses seek to change how top judges selected
Some 86 years ago, Missouri voters enshrined a system for selecting top judges that would remove political influence from the courts. And almost immediately, it came under attack.Under what has come to be known as the Missouri Plan, lawyers help choose a slat…
Raw Story · October 15, 2026
Eric Schmitt suffers new embarrassment as aide blames 'software error' for donor mess
In December 2023, a woman living in a small community near Austin, Texas, made a $78.08 contribution through WinRed. A few weeks later, she made another.Then came four more contributions in January 2024.Those were the first six entries under her name in Feder…
Raw Story · October 3, 2026
Markwayne Mullin won't reveal rent from 'crash pad' roommate who oversees him: report
Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin won't disclose what his congressional roommate pays to live in the Capitol Hill home Mullin owns.According to a Thursday article by The Daily Mail, Mullin has shared the house with Rep. Jason Smith (R-MO) for three…
Raw Story · September 17, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗