Democratic
Chris Reichard
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
Missouri District 8 election, 2026
Chris Reichard vs. Jason Smith on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Jason Smith favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+46.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+53.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Jason Smith
Incumbent representative for MO-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Rebecca Sharpe Lombard · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MO-8. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MO-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Press Freedom Groups Warn 'No Newsroom in America Is Safe' After House GOP Subpoenas Left-Wing Outlet
Press freedom groups are issuing dire warnings on Thursday that House Republicans' efforts to subpoena the nonprofit left-wing news organization BreakThrough News represent a dangerous new step in a McCarthyite war on political dissent.On Wednesday, Fox News …
Common Dreams · July 23, 2026
House Subpoena of BreakThrough News Threatens Press Freedom
In a direct attack on the First Amendment, the House Ways and Means Committee has subpoenaed independent news outlet BreakThrough News, demanding internal records under the guise of investigating foreign influence in the tax-exempt nonprofit sector.The commit…
Common Dreams · July 23, 2026
Mike Johnson shamed by MAGA lawmaker over leadership failures: ‘Fix the problem’
A GOP lawmaker and close ally to President Donald Trump took to Fox News Sunday to issue House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) a blistering condemnation after the House GOP leader, again, sent lawmakers home on recess after facing pushback from his own party.Jo…
Raw Story · July 5, 2026
Melania gives Congress private deadline as she works around Trump's team: report
First lady Melania Trump gave Congress a private deadline to pass her signature foster care bill, and she is pursuing it largely outside the usual White House channels, according to a new report in Politico. At a bipartisan roundtable with the House Ways and …
Raw Story · July 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗