Actual result
R+33.0
Final polls said
R+33.4
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+29.5
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Missouri State University Center for Social Science and Public Policy Research | R+33.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+29.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State University Center for Social Science and Public Policy Research | 2010-10-24 | 199 | R+33.4 | 0 |