Democratic
Brian Miller
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Troy Downing favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+34.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+29.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Troy Downing
Incumbent representative for MT-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Michael Eisenhauer · Independent
- Patrick McCracken · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MT-2. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MT-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Montana's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Live Action urges HHS to take abortion pill off market after undercover investigation
Live Action President Lila Rose and Ethics and Public Policy Center President Ryan Anderson speak at a press conference on Capitol Hill on Jan. 22, 2026. | Credit: Photo courtesy of Live Action Jan 22, 2026 / 15:59 pm (CNA). Live Action has sent an urgent me…
Catholicnewsagency.com · January 22, 2026
Photos: Ben Carson attends Liberty Dinner in Billings
Ben and Candy Carson are photographed with United States Representative Troy Downing during the Mountain States Policy Center 2025 Montana Liberty Dinner at the Double Tree by Hilton Hotel.
Billings Gazette · November 7, 2025
Crypto in 401(k)s: Trump’s New Frontier for Altcoins Boosts Bitcoin Hyper’s Prospects
Quick Facts: 1️⃣ Representative Troy Downing (R-Mont.) introduced a bill codifying Trump’s Executive Order 14330. 2️⃣ The executive order opens the $12T 401(k) market to crypto investors. 3️⃣ Both the executive order and the bill are infrastructure plays, set…
Bitcoinist · October 15, 2025
GOP Rep. Downing: Montana Farmers Will 'Hit Crisis Mode' Without Help, They Don't Have Markets
On Tuesday’s broadcast of NewsNation’s “The Hill,” Rep. Troy Downing (R-MT) said that farmers in his state will “hit crisis mode if we can’t get the government open soon” and give them a bridge until trade deals are reached and The post GOP Rep. Downing: Mont…
Breitbart News · October 15, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗