North Carolina District 6 election, 2026

Cyril Jefferson vs. Addison McDowell on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Addison McDowell favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+13.1

97%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+17.0

2026 national environment

D+5.5

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Cyril Jefferson

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Addison McDowell

Incumbent representative for NC-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-6. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

How Trump is breaking with precedent by naming a growing list of federal properties after himself

Most American presidents aspire to the kind of greatness that prompts future generations to name important things in their honor.Donald Trump isn’t leaving it to future generations.As the first year of his second term wraps up, his Republican administration a…

Ap.org · January 16, 2026

Plane owned by ex-NASCAR driver Greg Biffle crashes in US

A small aircraft owned by the 56-year-old race driver crashed and exploded while attempted to land at Statesville Regional Airport in North Carolina. There was no immediate confirmation he was among the passengers. A Cessna C550 plane owned by the GB Aviation…

DW (English) · December 18, 2025

‘Assault on the entire West’: Vance outdone as fellow Republicans ramp up terror talk

CONCORD, N.C. — Vice President JD Vance’s visit to a sweltering hangar at an airport outside Charlotte on Wednesday provided a campaign-style platform for familiar attacks on Democrats as being “soft on crime,” even as news broke of a deadly shooting at an …

Raw Story · September 25, 2025

'Darkest moments': NC's stunning lesson spurs stark warning for Texas Dems

GREENSBORO, N.C. — The Texas GOP’s hugely controversial push to draw five new U.S. House seats, thereby ejecting Democrats and protecting the Republican majority in Congress ahead of the 2026 midterms, has lit up national media amid high drama as Lone Star De…

Raw Story · August 14, 2025

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NC-5 · NC-7