Democratic
LaMonica McIver
Incumbent representative for NJ-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
LaMonica McIver favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+55.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+53.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Carmen Bucco
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-10. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Canadian woman detained by ICE after slapping a MAGA teen
A Canadian woman was arrested after a physical altercation over the Fourth of July weekend. Kaitlyn Tracey, 33, was arrested by Immigration and Customs Enforcement after confronting young Trump supporters at Point Pleasant, New Jersey, according to The New Yo…
Raw Story · July 16, 2026
Canadian slaps MAGA teen on the Jersey Shore — and gets arrested by Trump's ICE: report
A Canadian woman got into a physical altercation with a young Trump supporter on the Jersey Shore — and the incident ended with her under arrest by Immigration and Customs Enforcement.According to the New York Post, police have confirmed 33-year-old Kaitlyn T…
Raw Story · July 15, 2026
Trump Puts Pregnant Dem Congresswoman on Trial for ICE Oversight
U.S. Representative LaMonica McIver could face up to 17 years in prison if the Justice Department gets its way.McIver, 40, was charged with assaulting immigration agents outside the notorious Delaney Hall immigration detention center in New Jersey last May. O…
The New Republic · June 24, 2026
Pregnant congresswoman facing 17 years for jail confrontation gets her day in court
Courtroom No. 2B in the J. Caleb Boggs Federal Courthouse in Wilmington, Delaware, will take center stage Wednesday, with attorneys for Rep. LaMonica McIver scheduled to appear before a U.S. 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals panel there in a bid to get her federal…
Raw Story · June 24, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗