Democratic
Analilia Mejia
Incumbent representative for NJ-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Analilia Mejia favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+11.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Joe Hathaway
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-11. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
ICE Detainee Died Days After Lawyer Raised Medical Concerns
Edwin López-Cornejo, the 39-year-old Salvadoran immigrant who died in an unknown “medical emergency” at the Delaney Hall immigration detention facility on Saturday, had documented health concerns including epilepsy and high blood pressure just days before he …
The New Republic · August 6, 2026
"This Is an ICE Murder, Too": Gabriela Soto Says She Miscarried While Husband Was Detained in Solitary
In the wake of a third ICE death at the Delaney Hall ICE jail in Newark, New Jersey, we speak with Gabriela Soto, whose husband Martín was one of the leaders of the May hunger strike at the immigration jail. Martín was transferred to Elizabeth Detention Cente…
Democracy Now! · August 5, 2026
Mother Says ICE 'Negligence' Killed Second Man to Die at Notorious NJ Lockup
The mother of a man who became the second immigrant held at the notorious Delaney Hall US Immigration and Customs Enforcement lockup in Newark, New Jersey to die in ICE custody said Monday that she believes her son's death was the result of medical negligence…
Common Dreams · August 4, 2026
Who Benefits From Mallory McMorrow’s Exit in the Michigan Senate Race?
In Michigan’s Democratic race for U.S. Senate, state Senator Mallory McMorrow was caught in the middle of—and ultimately squeezed out by—centrist Haley Stevens and progressive populist Abdul El-Sayed. Now, with McMorrow having suspended her campaign on Sunday…
The New Republic · July 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗