Democratic
Analilia Mejia
Incumbent representative for NJ-11. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Analilia Mejia favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+15.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+9.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Joe Hathaway
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Alan Bond · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-11. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 11th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Democrats unite around Hegseth impeachment push
The News Congressional Democrats aren’t eager to impeach Donald Trump. Pete Hegseth is a different story. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his leadership circle remain reluctant to lean too far into talking about impeaching the president if they re…
Semafor.com · October 9, 2026
NJ school district forced students to keep image of Dem Rep on their computers, parent says
A New Jersey public school forced students to keep an image of Dem Rep. Analilia Mejia on their school-issued computers to celebrate Hispanic Heritage Month two months before election day, an angry parent has alleged. The screen background was reportedly set …
Freerepublic.com · September 24, 2026
NJ school district forced students to keep image of Dem Rep on their computers, parent says
Students enrolled in the Glen Ridge Public School system in New Jersey were briefly forced to have an image of Rep. Analilia Mejia on their desktop background this week to celebrate Hispanic Heritage Month, a parent alleged.
New York Post · September 24, 2026
Rep. Analilia Mejia calls ICE a "rogue agency" that needs to be abolished
Democratic Rep. Analilia Mejia of New Jersey joins "The Takeout" to discuss last weekend's ICE shooting of a man in Austin, Texas, and the push for a pause on new data centers in her state.
CBS News · September 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗