VotePredictor
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New Jersey District 12 election, 2026

Adam Hamawy vs. Gregg Mele.

VotePredictor forecast
Adam Hamawy favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+34.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+26.5
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Adam Hamawy

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Gregg Mele

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Andres Jinete · Green
  • Winston Jordan · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-12. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in New Jersey's 12th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NJ-11 · NJ-2