Democratic
Zack Mullock
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jeff Van Drew favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+7.0
88%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+13.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jeff Van Drew
Incumbent representative for NJ-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Ramon Mora Jr. · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
‘My life means so little’: Sickest patients face insurance denials despite policy fixes
HENRICO, Va. — Sheldon Ekirch spends a lot of time on hold with her health insurance company. Sometimes, as the minutes tick by and her frustration mounts, Ekirch, 30, opens a meditation app on her phone. It was recommended by her psychologist to help with th…
Raw Story · March 31, 2025
Space Nukes, Spy Balloons and Garlic: The Art of American Scaremongering
Republican Congressman Jefferson Van Drew has claimed on Fox News that alleged drone sightings over New Jersey were part of an Iranian plot involving a "mothership" off the US east coast, citing unnamed "high sources" despite a lack of evidence.
Sputnikglobe.com · December 15, 2024
Satellite Footage Reveals Iranian "Mothership" Drone Carriers Exist, Just Not Near New Jersey
Satellite Footage Reveals Iranian "Mothership" Drone Carriers Exist, Just Not Near New Jersey Pentagon Deputy Press Secretary Sabrina Singh quickly rejected Republican Congressman Jefferson Van Drew of New Jersey's claim that mysterious Iranian "mothership"…
Biztoc.com · December 12, 2024
Watch: Congressman Warns Iranian Mothership Lurking Off Coast Responsible For New Jersey Drone Scare
Watch: Congressman Warns Iranian Mothership Lurking Off Coast Responsible For New Jersey Drone Scare Republican Congressman Jefferson Van Drew of New Jersey, a member of both the House Judiciary Committee and the Transportation and Infrastructure Committee…
Biztoc.com · December 11, 2024
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗