Democratic
Rachel Peace
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Smith favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+30.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+28.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Chris Smith
Incumbent representative for NJ-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-4. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Republican Rep. Chris Smith urges Trump to confront Xi about Americans jailed in China
With as many as 300 Americans detained in China, where some are subjected to sexual abuse and torture, Rep. Chris Smith is demanding that President Trump make their release a centerpiece of his upcoming summit with China’s President Xi Jinping. The New Jersey…
Freerepublic.com · Today
Trump Twisted a Climate Debate Beyond Recognition
Over the last few weeks, the United States right loudly claimed victory in a battle that few people on earth knew was happening. The National Review’s Editorial Board gloated, “Science Has Spoken Against Climate Alarmism.” Several papers owned by Rupert Murdo…
The New Republic · May 26, 2026
Johnson Doing ‘Everything He Can’ to Extend Planned Parenthood Defund: Pro-Life Rep
Speaker Mike Johnson has assured some members of Congress and pro-life leaders that he will try to stop the resumption of Planned Parenthood funding, but he faces opposition from Democrats and even members of his own party. Johnson told Pro-Life Caucus Co-Ch…
Daily Signal · May 6, 2026
Missing GOP Rep. Breaks His Silence After Being MIA for Over a Month
New Jersey Representative Tom Kean Jr. has finally addressed the public regarding his multiweek absence from Congress.“I want to thank my constituents and colleagues for their patience as I address a personal medical issue,” Kean said in a statement posted on…
The New Republic · April 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗