Democratic
Josh Gottheimer
Incumbent representative for NJ-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Josh Gottheimer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+4.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Sean Kirrane
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House approves long-awaited stock trading ‘ban’ — here’s who the largest traders are (ony 4.51 years left)
WASHINGTON — The House passed a sweeping set of restrictions on stock trades by lawmakers and their spouses that was paired with a voter ID provision that scared off many Democrats. The “Stop Insider Trading Act” cleared the House 232 to 198, with the full su…
Freerepublic.com · July 23, 2026
Trump's election security boogeyman revealed to be embedded across admin
A Democratic lawmaker revealed that the "software glitch" responsible for allowing illegal voter registrations in New Jersey was from a company that is used across the Trump administration. Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) told CNN anchor Jake Tapper on Wednesday …
Raw Story · July 22, 2026
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
‘Squad’ member Summer Lee mixes up two Jewish Dems — then Ilhan Omar tries to defend her and gets reminded of her own vote
Rep. Josh Gottheimer, 51, has been in Congress since 2017 and is one of the most outspoken critics of the Democratic Socialists of America.
New York Post · July 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗