Democratic
Josh Gottheimer
Incumbent representative for NJ-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Josh Gottheimer favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+8.0
91%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+2.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Sean Kirrane
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Adam Rueda · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-5. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
'Stand With the People': Progressive Caucus Leader Calls on All Democrats to Reject AI Billionaire Cash
The chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus on Wednesday urged all Democrats to reject campaign cash from billionaires whose wealth stems from the artificial intelligence industry, following news that the president of OpenAI abandoned plans to donate mi…
Common Dreams · October 1, 2026
Dems urge tech CEOs to send 'rogue agents' reports
Democratic House representatives Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, Valerie Foushee of North Carolina, and Ted Lieu of California called on the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic PBC, Google LLC, Meta Platforms In...
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
AI Giants Probe 'Tens of Thousands' of Security Incidents—Some Involving Government Sites
Just days after a United Nations panel of experts warned that current artificial intelligence guardrails are "unraveling," Axios reported Saturday that security researchers, along with the firms Anthropic and OpenAI, "are investigating tens of thousands of in…
Common Dreams · September 27, 2026
Gottheimer unveils 2 bipartisan AI safety bills
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), one of three co-chairs of the House Democratic Commission on Artificial Intelligence, said Friday he intends to introduce two bipartisan bills that would address surging AI safety concerns. The New Jersey Democrat — who along wi…
Biztoc.com · September 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗