Democratic
Josh Gottheimer
Incumbent representative for NJ-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Josh Gottheimer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+26.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+4.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Sean Kirrane
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Adam Rueda · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-5. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Gottheimer unveils 2 bipartisan AI safety bills
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), one of three co-chairs of the House Democratic Commission on Artificial Intelligence, said Friday he intends to introduce two bipartisan bills that would address surging AI safety concerns. The New Jersey Democrat — who along wi…
Biztoc.com · September 18, 2026
Amid Urgent Demand for Oversight, Analysis Details 105 US Lawmakers Personally Invested in the AI Industry
Despite increasingly urgent calls to regulate artificial intelligence, including from industry insiders who warn of potentially catastrophic consequences, the US Congress has continued to drag its feet on meaningful legislation.A report released Friday by Slu…
Common Dreams · September 18, 2026
Lawler and Gottheimer roll out bill targeting rogue AI agents to prevent a ‘Terminator’ sequel
Hudson Valley Rep. Mike Lawler and New Jersey Rep. Josh Gottheimer have rolled out a new bill aimed at reining in artificial intelligence agents and preventing them from going rogue.
New York Post · September 17, 2026
Dems Want to Regulate AI. But Will AI Money Divide Them?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems want to regulate AI. But will AI money divide them?Democrats are loudly deman…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗